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The pandemic’s labor market myths

 


During the pandemic, there were various narratives about the state of the labor market that have since evolved. One of these narratives was the "she-cession," which highlighted the significant job losses experienced by women early on. However, women have made a strong comeback, with the employment rate for women in their prime working years reaching a record high.

Another narrative was the anticipated wave of early retirements. While many older workers did leave the labor force, contrary to expectations, they have returned to work at a similar pace as their younger counterparts. However, Americans past traditional retirement age (65 and older) have not returned to work in significant numbers, contributing to a decrease in the overall labor force size.

There was also talk of a white-collar recession specifically impacting technology and information sector workers. However, this narrative has not been reflected in the overall employment data. High-skilled employees in white-collar industries, including technology, are finding new jobs relatively quickly, as unemployment remains low in these sectors.

Additionally, there was concern about young and middle-aged men not rejoining the labor market as rapidly as other demographic groups. Although their recovery has been slower, recent progress suggests that men are gradually regaining their employment rates.

Contrary to some predictions, the U.S. labor market has rebounded swiftly and broadly, defying gloomy narratives. This mirrors what happened after the 2008 recession when many economists doubted the labor market's ability to recover fully. Ultimately, as the economy improved, employment rebounded across various demographic groups.

Overall, the lesson from the pandemic recovery is that when job opportunities are plentiful, people are resilient and eager to work. As the labor market continues to heal and adapt, individuals find ways to navigate and contribute to the workforce. 

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