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Boeing Earnings: New CEO Proclaims Changing the Culture Top Priority We’ve raised our fair value estimate of Boeing’s stock, due to the liquidity the company’s shelf registration will provide and assuming the latest IAM contract is ratified.

 

 Boeing (BA.N), opens new tab CEO Kelly Ortberg laid out a cautious path to turn the company around on Wednesday, calling for a "fundamental culture change" at the struggling planemaker as its quarterly losses surged to $6 billion due to a crippling strike.
Boeing has racked up losses of nearly $8 billion for the current year, after the strike halted production of its 737 MAX, 777 and 767 planes and an ailing defense and space division hammer its business. The planemaker was already wrestling with a quality crisis from a January mid-air panel blowout.
Boeing CFO Brian West told analysts he expects the company will continue burning cash in full year 2025 and the last three months of 2024, sending shares of Boeing down 1.7% to $157.15.
In a letter to employees Wednesday morning, Ortberg stressed the need for improving performance in its defense business and its 737 MAX and 777 programs while broadly stabilizing Boeing.
Ortberg went further than his recent predecessors in acknowledging the damage to Boeing's reputation has voided the company's "iconic" status, a term he used to describe Boeing when he was named as its new chief executive in August.
"This is a big ship that will take some time to turn, but when it does, it has the capacity to be great again," Ortberg said.
West said the company has a plan to address Boeing's balance sheet in the near term that could include an offering of equity and equity linked securities, but did not specify a time frame. Reuters has reported the raise could be around $15 billion.
"Based on our current best estimates of market demand, planned production rates, timing of cash receipts and expenditures, and our expected ability to successfully implement actions to improve liquidity, we believe it is probable that we will be able to fund our operations for the foreseeable future," Boeing said in a regulatory filing.
"We also believe we have the ability to access additional liquidity," Boeing added.
In his first call with analysts, Ortberg said he is now reviewing Boeing's businesses and long term forecasts.
The company may end up selling some assets, as it downsizes its workforce to focus on the company's key civil planemaking and core defense units.
"I think that we're better off doing less and doing it better than doing more and not doing it well," Ortberg said.
Boeing's logo is seen at Le Bourget Airport near Paris
A Boeing logo is seen on a 777-9 aircraft on display during the 54th International Paris Airshow at Le Bourget Airport near Paris, France, June 18, 2023. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
Ortberg's call to arms follows sweeping plans for significant downsizing announced earlier this month as a strike by about 33,000 workers has dragged on for more than a month.
The former Rockwell Collins executive, who took the helm of the U.S. planemaker in August, said he was hopeful that a new contract proposal being voted on Wednesday by more of the striking workers would be approved, though analysts say ratification is not certain.
It is a crucial day for the planemaker, which was already struggling with the fallout from a regulator-imposed cap on production of MAX aircraft following a harrowing mid-air door panel blowout.
West said the company's earlier 38 per month target for producing its 737 MAX, originally set for year's end, will be delayed following the strike.
But even if the strike ends, restarting production of 737 MAX as well as 767 and 777 widebodies will be a fresh challenge given the supply chain is still struggling in some pockets.
Boeing will also have to convince suppliers who have announced furloughs and put off investments over the last few weeks, to now reverse course and support its production plans.
"It's much harder to turn this on than it is to turn it off," Ortberg said, referring to its factories and the supply chain.
"We view (Kelly's) comments as encouraging, as Boeing has historically been averse to recognizing that it has issues, let alone actually fixing them," Vertical Research Partners analyst Robert Stallard said.
The column chart shows Boeing's quarterly profit and loss since the first quarter of 2019.
The column chart shows Boeing's quarterly profit and loss since the first quarter of 2019.
Boeing on Wednesday reported a quarterly cash burn of $1.96 billion, compared with a cash burn of $310 million a year earlier.
Quarterly revenue fell 1% to $17.84 billion.
Meanwhile, revenue growth in the company's aftermarket business, Boeing Global Services, slowed to 2% in the quarter through September, compared with 9% growth last year and 7% in the first quarter of this year.

 Boeing factory workers voted Wednesday to reject the company’s latest contract offer and to continue a six-week strike that has halted production of the aerospace giant’s bestselling jetliners.

Local union leaders in Seattle said 64% of members of the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers who cast ballots voted against accepting the proposal.

“After 10 years of sacrifices, we still have ground to make up, and we’re hopeful to do so by resuming negotiations promptly,” Jon Holden, the head of the IAM District 751 union, said in a statement Wednesday evening. “This is workplace democracy — and also clear evidence that there are consequences when a company mistreats its workers year after year.”

A spokesperson for Boeing said officials didn’t have a comment on the vote

The labor standoff comes during an already challenging year for Boeing, which became the focus of multiple federal investigations after a door panel blew off a 737 Max plane during an Alaska Airlines flight in January.

The strike has deprived the company of much-needed cash that it gets from delivering new planes to airlines. On Wednesday, the company reported a third-quarter loss of more than $6 billion.

Union machinists assemble the 737 Max, Boeing’s best-selling airliner, along with the 777 or “triple-seven” jet and the 767 cargo plane at factories in Renton and Everett, Washington.

The offer rejected Wednesday included pay raises of 35% over four years. The version that union members rejected when they voted to strike last month featured a 25% increase over four years.

The union, which initially demanded 40% pay boosts over three years, said the annual raises in the revised offer would total 39.8% when compounded.

Boeing has said that the average annual pay for machinists is currently $75,608.

Boeing workers told Associated Press reporters that a sticking point was the company’s refusal to restore a traditional pension plan that was frozen a decade ago.

“The pension should have been the top priority. We all said that was our top priority, along with wage,” Larry Best, a customer-quality coordinator with 38 years at Boeing, said on a picket line outside a Boeing factory in Everett, Washington. “Now is the prime opportunity in a prime time to get our pension back, and we all need to stay out and dig our heels in.”

Theresa Pound, a 16-year Boeing veteran, also voted against the deal. She said the health plan has gotten worse, with higher premiums and more out-of-pocket expenses, and her expected pension benefits would not be enough, even when combined with a 401(k) retirement account.

“I have put more time in this place than I was ever required to. I have literally blood, sweat, and tears from working at this company,” the 37-year-old said. “I’m looking at working until I’m 70 because I have this possibility that I might not get to retire based on what’s happening in the market.”

The strike, which began Sept. 13, has served as an early test for Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg, who became chief executive in August.

In his first remarks to investors, Ortberg said earlier Wednesday that Boeing needs “a fundamental culture change,” and he laid out his plan to revive the aerospace giant after years of heavy losses and damage to its reputation.

Ortberg repeated in a message to employees and on the earnings call that he wants to “reset” management’s relationship with labor “so we don’t become so disconnected in the future.” He said company leaders need to spend more time on factory floors to know what is going on and “prevent the festering of issues and work better together to identify, fix, and understand the root cause.”

Ortberg, a Boeing outsider who previously ran Rockwell Collins, a maker of avionics and flight controls for airline and military planes, said Boeing is at a crossroads.

“The trust in our company has eroded. We’re saddled with too much debt. We’ve had serious lapses in our performance across the company, which have disappointed many of our customers,” he said.

But Ortberg also highlighted the company’s strengths, including a backlog of airplane orders valued at a half-trillion dollars.

“It will take time to return Boeing to its former legacy, but with the right focus and culture, we can be an iconic company and aerospace leader once again,” he said.

In recent weeks, Ortberg announced large-scale layoffs — about 17,000 people — and a plan to raise enough cash to avoid a bankruptcy filing.

Boeing hasn’t had a profitable year since 2018, and Wednesday’s numbers represented the second-worst quarter in the manufacturer’s history. Boeing lost $6.17 billion in the period ended Sept. 30, with an adjusted loss of $10.44 per share. Analysts polled by Zacks Investment Research had expected a loss of $10.34 per share.

Revenue totaled $17.84 billion, matching Wall Street estimates.

The company burned nearly $2 billion in cash, in the quarter, weakening its balance sheet, which is loaded down with $58 billion in debt. Chief Financial Officer Brian West said the company will not generate positive cash flow until the second half of next year.

Shares of The Boeing Co. fell 2% in regular trading Wednesday.

Boeing’s fortunes soured after two of its 737 Max jetliners crashed in October 2018 and March 2019, killing 346 people. Safety concerns were renewed this January when a panel blew off a Max during an Alaska Airlines flight.

Ortberg needs to convince federal regulators that Boeing is fixing its safety culture and is ready to boost production of the 737 Max — a crucial step to bring in much-needed cash. That can’t happen, however, until the striking workers return to their jobs.

Early in the strike, Boeing made what it termed its “best and final” offer. The proposal included pay raises of 30% over four years and angered union leaders because the company announced it to the striking workers through the media and set a short ratification deadline.

Boeing backed down and gave the union more time. However, many workers maintained the offer still wasn’t good enough. The company withdrew the proposed contract on Oct. 9 after negotiations broke down, and the two sides announced the latest proposal on Saturday.

The last Boeing strike in 2008 lasted eight weeks and cost the company about $100 million daily in deferred revenue. A 1995 strike lasted 10 weeks.

What We Thought of Boeing’s Earnings

Prefacing Boeing’s BA third-quarter earnings announcement, newly appointed CEO Kelly Ortberg declared “fundamentally changing the culture” his top priority. The company shared the quarter’s bleak financial results and awaits the machinists’ vote on an improved union contract.

Why it matters: We’ve heard culture defined elegantly as “how we do things around here,” Ortberg articulated a credible path to effecting change over time in how things get done at Boeing. It won’t be easy, but we think it is achievable. Ortberg seems to be staking a bolder leadership claim over Boeing at a crossroads.

  • Most importantly, regarding restarting work after the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers’ strike, he said, “It is so more important that we do this right than fast.” He removed management of the beleaguered defense unit and indicated openness to hiring from outside Boeing as he set the new direction.
  • Ortberg moved to Boeing’s historical headquarters in Seattle and emphasized that he wants company managers to be close to the products and the people making them in the engineering labs and on the shop floor, which represents a change in tone from recent regimes.

The bottom line: We raised our fair value estimate to $205 per share from $202, due to the $25 billion of liquidity the company’s shelf registration will provide (notwithstanding potential equity dilution) and assuming the latest IAM contract is ratified.

  • We now forecast a negative free cash flow of $2.7 billion in 2025, compared with a use of at least $12 billion in a disastrous 2024, with momentum quickly building for positive cash flow in subsequent years.

Big picture: We think the firm will need to lay out a clear and bold product strategy and begin designing aircraft to meet that strategy in the next few years or risk calcifying a weakened position in the narrow-body market versus Airbus’ newer A320 platform.

Boeing Stock vs. Morningstar Fair Value Estimate

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