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BYD's outpacing of Tesla has only just begun


  (Reuters Breakingviews) - One electric-vehicle challenge Elon Musk saw coming in his rear-view mirror has just edged past him. On Wednesday, BYD (002594. SZ)

, opens new tab(1211.HK), opens new tab clocked quarterly sales that handily beat Tesla (TSLA.O), opens new tab. The next worry is that his Chinese rival will keep pulling further ahead.
BYD's top line was neck and neck with Tesla's in last year's fourth quarter. But it powered ahead in the latest results, with a record 201 billion yuan, opens new tab ($28 billion) in revenue in the three months to the end of September, some $3 billion more, opens new tab than its U.S. rival's.
Granted, it doesn't compare apples with apples: BYD makes both pure and hybrid electric cars, as well as mobile handsets and commercial vehicles. Strip out the estimated contribution from its mobiles division, and BYD raked in roughly $22 billion, similar to Tesla’s combined revenue from automotives and services. Whichever way you cut it, that’s a landmark for the Chinese company, which only began to specialise in battery-powered vehicles in 2022.
Founder and Chair Wang Chuanfu is investing aggressively in research, which for 2024 could hit $6.5 billion. That's nearly 50% higher than Tesla’s forecast outlay, analyst estimates compiled by LSEG show.
Shows local brands' share of the Chinese passenger car market is growing. Local brands accounted for nearly two-thirds of sales in January to August 2024.
Shows local brands' share of the Chinese passenger car market is growing. Local brands accounted for nearly two-thirds of sales in January to August 2024.
China accounted for the vast majority of BYD's deliveries and growth in the first nine months of the year, helped by consumers' taste for homegrown brands. Local badges accounted for nearly two-thirds of industry sales this year, compared with one-third in 2020, per consultancy Automobility.
Exports made up roughly 10% of the total in the first three quarters, despite a pushback against the influx of Chinese electric cars from Brussels to Washington. International markets could become the growth engine as the company is readying factories in Hungary, Thailand, Turkey, and Brazil. For the first time in August, monthly sales filings showed BYD sold more cars abroad than it exported, indicating overseas production is already making a contribution.
Tesla still beats BYD on some other counts. Its vast Shanghai factory achieved its lowest-ever cost of goods per vehicle in the third quarter. That helped bag a net profit of $2.2 billion, higher than BYD’s $1.6 billion bottom line, even though Musk's outfit does not produce higher-margin hybrids like Wang's does. Tesla's so-called “full self-driving” system, whilst not quite living up to its name, is also more advanced than many competitors’.
Such advantages will keep Tesla humming. But BYD is gearing up for a formidable lead.
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CONTEXT NEWS
Chinese electric-car maker BYD on Oct. 30 reported net profit grew 11.5% year-on-year to 11.6 billion yuan ($1.63 billion) in the three months to the end of September. Total revenue increased 24% to a record 201 billion yuan ($28.22 billion).
Tesla’s net profit in the same period was $2.2 billion, while total revenue was $25.2 billion, according to a filing on Oct. 23.

Editing by Antony Currie and Ujjaini Dutta

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